Natural History of Back Pain in Older Adults over Five Years

For people over 55 years old, if you only use medicine for your lower back pain, you can expect to get most of your relief in the first 3-6 months.  Most of you will not become pain free within 3 months, and this does not improve over 5 years. ~ Dr. Broussard

Wendelien H. van der Gaag, Wendy T. M. Enthoven, Pim A. J. Luijsterburg, Jantine van Rijckevorsel-Scheele, Sita M.A. Bierma-Zeinstra, Arthur M. Bohnen, Maurits W. van Tulder and Bart W. Koes
The Journal of the American Board of Family Medicine
November 2019, 32 (6) 781-789; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3122/jabfm.2019.06.190041

Abstract
Introduction: Back pain is a prevalent health problem. Research often focuses on adults. Evidence on the long-term course of back pain in older patients is limited. A prospective cohort study (BACE) was conducted in a primary care setting in the Netherlands. We aim to investigate the 5-year course and medical consumption of older adults (>55 years) presenting with back pain in general practice.

Methods: Patients aged >55 years, consulting their general practitioner with a new back pain episode, were included between 2009 to 2011. Follow-up questionnaires included, for example, pain severity, disability, quality of life, recovery, and medical consumption.

Results: A total of 675 patients (mean age ± SD, 66.4 ± 7.6 years) participated, showing a mean (± SD) back pain reduction from 5.2 (± 2.7) to 3.6 (± 2.8) (numeric rating scale, 0 to 10) at 3 months follow-up; disability decreased from 9.8 (± 5.8) to 7.8 (± 6.2) (Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire, 0 to 24). After 6 months, this remained practically constant over time. Medical consumption was highest in the first months; medication was used by 72% at baseline and approximately one-third (25% to 39%) during follow-up. At 5-year follow-up (response rate 58%; n = 392), 43% had recovered; a majority reported persistent or recurrent back pain.

Conclusion: Clinically relevant improvements in back pain intensity and disability were seen in the first 3 to 6 months of follow-up. A majority of patients does not become pain free within 3 months; this does not improve over 5 years. However, most patients stop consulting health care professionals during follow-up. Current medical strategies may not be sufficient in older back pain patients, where back pain becomes a recurrent or chronic condition in the majority of patients.

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